Predictions put into practice: a quasi-experimental evaluation of Chicago’s predictive policing pilot

Peer-Reviewed Study · Jessica Saunders; Priscillia Hunt; John S. Hollywood · 2016

RAND's evaluation of Chicago's predictive list: people on it were no less likely to be shot, but were more likely to be arrested for a shooting.

Individuals on the SSL are not more or less likely to become a victim of a homicide or shooting than the comparison group, and this is further supported by city-level analysis. The treated group is more likely to be arrested for a shooting.

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RAND's evaluation of Chicago's predictive list: people on it were no less likely to be shot, but were more likely to be arrested for a shooting.

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